hinese consumers to drive future global growth

One of Britain’s leading economists said Chinese consumer 上海品茶微信s will be the driving force of future global economic growth.

Jim O’Neill, chair of the international think tank Chatham House and former chief econom

i 上海品茶微信st at Goldman Sachs, made the remarks in a speech on Wednesday at the celebration of the 70th anniversary of th

e founding of the People’s Republic of China and the second China-UK Economic and Trade Forum in London.

“What happens to the Chinese consumers is more important to China’s future,” O’Neill said.

“If China continues with 8 percent nominal GDP gr 上海品茶微信owth, which I believe is 5 percent real (GDP growth), and 3 percent pri

ces (meaning inflation), and if the Chinese consumers become the 50 percent of that total, the change from the next

year to the next decade is somewhere between $11 to $12 trillion, which is equivalent to create another China,” he said.上海品茶微信

O’Neill i 上海品茶微信s known for coining the term BRIC, the group term for Brazil, Russia, India and China, in 2001, to describe the four rapidly-developing nations that symbolized the shifting balance in the global economy.

South Africa was added to the group nine years later, making it BRICS.

“China remains the only one of the BRICS countries that aft上海品茶微信er 17 years has actually done exactly what we had expected it would achieve,” he said.

His opinion is that the ongoing trade dispute with the Un

ited States is not the most important challenge the country currently faces.

To continue its success, O’Neill said, China ne

上海品茶微信女神会所eds to address aspects of its aging population, which is a key contr

ibutor to the economic growth slowdown, and tackle environmental issues and population control in urban areas.

O’Neill is a former British commercial secretary to the Treasury. He said the Belt and Road Initiative, or BRI, initiated six ye

ars ago, will play a “hugely important” role in global trade, which has been buffeted by rising protectionism and unilateralism.

The BRI aims to build the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road and deliver policies, infra

structure, trade, financial and people-to-people c上海品茶微信女神会所onnectivity via a new platform for a brighter future.

“If it can be implemented collectively, it can transform the trade pattern in Asia, p

articularly between China and India, two of the major BRICS countries,” he added.

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Responding to a question on China’s considerations behin

 behind sending Wei to this year’s Shangri-La Dialogue, Wu said that China chooses the head of its delegation in accordance with the situation.

He added that China and the United States are in active talks on whether Wei will meet Patrick M. Sha

nahan, acting US secretary of defense, during the event and information on that will be published later.

Wei has been in Singapore since Tuesday and has met with leaders of the Singaporea

n government as part of his visit to the Southeast Asian nation, Singapore media reported.

Zhao Xiaozhuo, a senior researcher of international military relatio

ns at the PLA Academy of Military Science, said that the attendance of Wei, as the second part

icipation of a Chinese defense minister to the Shangri-La Dialogue, shows that China plac

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China is the world’s largest producer of rare earths, acco

counting for about 80 percent of global supply. However, the country’s rare-earth industry is faced with such pro

blems as rapidly decreasing inventory, inefficient production and environmental pollution.

Analysts also said that the low prices of China’s exports have failed to reflect the real value of the precious resource.

The division of labor of the global rare-earth industry should be coo

rdinated in accordance with the principle of opening-up and sharing, the NDRC said.

While the country prioritizes the domestic use of rare-earth meta

ls, it is willing to see its exports help drive the development of global industries, it said.

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also said it is delaying its launch of Huawei’s 5G smartphones.

Jia Mo, an analyst at Singapore-based market research company Canalys, said the delayed prod

uct releases in certain markets will harm Huawei‘s smartphone business, but Huawei is working on its ow

n mobile operating system, which can help relieve some pressure in the domestic market.

On Thursday, in response to media reports that UK chip firm Arm Holdings told its staff to suspend dealin

gs with Huawei, Ren Zhengfei, CEO of Huawei, said in an interview with Chinese financial media website Caixin that his co

mpany has acquired a permanent licensing of the ARM architecture, the basis for Huawei to design its chips.

Arm China also said in a reply to China Daily that “we are in active com

munication to find appropriate solutions that comply with current laws and regulations”.

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They will also increase the number of personnel exchan

anges to improve the experience and effectiveness of customs officers, Jin said.

China will continue to conduct joint law enforcement operations with other countries targeti

ng IPR violations, including Russia and the US. Customs officials of the EU, Japan and South Kore

a have responded positively to China’s proposal for law enforcement operations, he said.

“We have been encouraging domestic and overseas enterprises to conduct exchanges on t

echnology and protecting the lawful intellectual property rights of overseas enterprises in China,” Jin said. “We a

lso want other countries to intensify IPR protections for Chinese enterprises on their soil.”

Jin made the comments at a news conference organized by the State Council Infor

mation Office in Beijing for the release of an IPR protection report by the Chinese government.

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In contrast, the US seems to take it for granted that tarif

s are a weapon it can employ to bring China to its knees and extract one-sided

concessions, apparently ignorant to the fac

t that China is not what it was in the late 1800s and early 1900s when the country was forced into signing humil

iating treaties, which resulted in the opening of trading ports and paying of indemnities to Western powers.

Perhaps the blame for the breakdown in the talks should be laid at the door of the mind-set o

f the West, which sees only winners and losers, rather than a holistic whole in

which all benefit from each other.

That Eastern viewpoint explains why

China still hopes that the US will meet it halfway for

the benefit of both countries and both

peoples as well as the development of the world economy.

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Not only are there missing links on the causality chai

 between long-term structural factors and actual economic performance, it is also unclear how long those factors would take to constrain GDP growth to a part

cular level. In fact, 20 years ago, the same long-term factors were used to warn of a possible fall in Chinese GDP growth.

Because of the complexity of China’s growth trajectory, many economists seem to base their assessments of potenti

al on performance. After every drop in China’s GDP growth since the second quarter of 2012-when growth fell be

low 8 percent-economists have emerged to declare that performance was in line with potential.

Difficult to determine potential growth rate

To be sure, there are various estimates of China’s potential growth rate, ranging from 5 perc

ent to 8 percent. But it is difficult to determine which is reliable. For one thing, there is reason to believe that

most estimates fail to discount cyclical factors adequately when calculating the long-term trend.

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Government pledges more red tape cuts of items requiri

China will further cut the number of items requiring certificatio

n and refine the procedures through institutional inno

vation to improve government services and foster a more enabling business environment.

The decision was made at the State Council’s executive meeting, chaired by Premier Li Keqiang on Sunday.

Participants at the meeting agreed that the government’s efforts in recent years to repeal unwarranted certification requ

irements and deepen the reform of government functions have produced notable results.

“These are crucial steps benefiting both companies and individuals

,” Li said. “At a time when the economy still faces uncertainties, removing these unjustified cer

tification requirements will help boost market vitality and improve the business environment.”

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hina’s growth a source of hope for allong proclaimi

With Chairman Mao Zedong proclaiming the founding of the People’s Republic of China on

Oct 1, 1949, the Chinese people began leaving behind a century of colonial humiliation and building a new life.

What remains poorly understood by the wider world even seven decades later is how dire were

the conditions in China during those days. While China sustained its triumph, Chinese people’s living stan

dard 70 years ago was barely 5 percent relative to their counterparts in the United States.

It was a dire starting point.

Transitions that raised China’s living standard

In the late 1970s, Deng Xiaoping introduced “reform and opening-up” policies

and established special economic zones, which ultimately facilitated China’s entry int

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The kind of view that he expressed is certainly in th

 right direction, and I’m encouraged by all of that,” said Jack Perkowski, a Wall S

treet veteran and founder and managing partner of JFP Holdings in New York.

Perkowski said that when combined with a perceived lack of legal enforc

ement, the issue of protecting IPR has always been the single biggest hurdle for most

companies from the United States when thinking about entering the China market.

He said every aspect of doing business in China has gotten better in the past two decades in the view of international investors.

Perkowski said IPR protection has emerged as a key issue. “China is deve

loping economically and technologically, so the bar is getting higher,” he said.

Savio Chan, CEO of US China Partners Inc, a business development f

irm, said the government’s crackdown on “squatting”-registering a large number of tradem

arks in order to unfairly profit-will improve the environment and help enterprises build brands with real value.

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